Non-public Medicaid well being plans misplaced tens of millions of members prior to now 12 months as pandemic protections that prohibited states from dropping anybody from the federal government program expired.
However regardless of Medicaid’s unwinding, because it’s identified, at the very least two of the 5 largest publicly traded firms promoting plans have continued to extend income from this system, based on their newest earnings experiences.
“It’s a really attention-grabbing paradox,” stated Andy Schneider, a analysis professor at Georgetown College’s McCourt Faculty of Public Coverage, of plans’ Medicaid income rising regardless of enrollment drops.
Medicaid, the state-federal well being program for low-income and disabled folks, is run by states. However most individuals enrolled in this system get their well being care by insurers contracted by states, together with UnitedHealthcare, Centene, and Molina.
The businesses persuaded states to pay them more cash per Medicaid enrollee underneath the belief that youthful and more healthy folks had been dropping out — presumably for Obamacare protection or employer-based medical health insurance, or as a result of they didn’t see the necessity to get protection — forsaking an older and sicker inhabitants to cowl, their executives have advised buyers.
A number of of the businesses reported that states have made midyear and retrospective adjustments of their funds to plans to account for the worsening well being standing of members.
In an earnings name with analysts on April 25, Molina Healthcare CEO Joe Zubretsky stated 19 states elevated their fee charges this 12 months to regulate for sicker Medicaid enrollees. “States have been very responsive,” Zubretsky stated. “We couldn’t be extra happy with the way in which our state clients have responded to having charges be commensurate with regular value traits and traits which were influenced by the acuity shift.”
Well being plans have confronted a lot uncertainty in the course of the Medicaid unwinding, as states started reassessing enrollees’ eligibility and dropping these deemed now not certified or who misplaced protection due to procedural errors. Earlier than the unwinding, plans stated they anticipated the general threat profile of their members to go up as a result of these remaining in this system could be sicker.
UnitedHealthcare, Centene, and Molina had Medicaid income will increase starting from 3% to 18% in 2023, based on KFF. The 2 different giant Medicaid insurers, Elevance and CVS Well being, don’t escape Medicaid-specific income.
The Medicaid enrollment of the 5 firms collectively declined by about 10% from the top of March 2023 by the top of December 2023, from 44.2 million folks to 39.9 million, KFF information exhibits.
Within the first quarter of 2024, UnitedHealth’s Medicaid income rose to $20.5 billion, up from $18.8 billion in the identical quarter of 2023.
Molina on April 24 reported almost $7.5 billion in Medicaid income within the first quarter of 2024, up from $6.3 billion in the identical quarter a 12 months earlier.
On April 26, Centene reported that its Medicaid enrollment fell 18.5% to 13.3 million within the first quarter of 2024 in contrast with the identical interval a 12 months in the past. The corporate’s Medicaid income dipped 3% to $22.2 billion.
In contrast to UnitedHealthcare, whose Medicaid enrollment fell to 7.7 million in March 2024 from 8.4 million a 12 months prior, Molina’s Medicaid enrollment rose within the first quarter of 2024 to five.1 million from 4.8 million in March 2023. Molina’s enrollment leap final 12 months was partly a results of its having purchased a Medicaid plan in Wisconsin and gained a brand new Medicaid contract in Iowa, the corporate stated in its earnings information launch.
Molina added 1 million members as a result of states had been prohibited from terminating Medicaid protection in the course of the pandemic. The corporate has misplaced 550,000 of these folks in the course of the unwinding and expects to lose a further 50,000 by June.
About 90% of Molina Medicaid members have gone by the redetermination course of, Zubretsky stated.
The company giants additionally offset the enrollment losses by getting extra Medicaid cash from states, which they use to cross on larger funds to sure amenities or suppliers, Schneider stated. By holding the cash briefly, the businesses can rely these “directed funds” as income.
Medicaid well being plans had been huge winners in the course of the pandemic after the federal authorities prohibited states from dropping folks from this system, resulting in a surge in enrollment to about 93 million Individuals.
States made efforts to restrict well being plans’ earnings by clawing again some funds above sure thresholds, stated Elizabeth Hinton, an affiliate director at KFF.
However as soon as the prohibition on dropping Medicaid enrollees was lifted final spring, the plans confronted uncertainty. It was unclear how many individuals would lose protection or when it might occur. For the reason that unwinding started, greater than 20 million folks have been dropped from the rolls.
Medicaid enrollees’ well being care prices had been decrease in the course of the pandemic, and a few states determined to exclude pandemic-era value information as they thought of how you can set fee charges for 2024. That offered one more win for the Medicaid well being plans.
Most states are anticipated to finish their Medicaid unwinding processes this 12 months.
KFF Well being Information is a nationwide newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about well being points and is among the core working packages at KFF—an impartial supply of well being coverage analysis, polling, and journalism. Study extra about KFF.
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